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dc.contributor.authorBarnes APen_US
dc.contributor.authorWreford Aen_US
dc.contributor.authorButterworth MHen_US
dc.contributor.authorSemenov MAen_US
dc.contributor.authorMoran Den_US
dc.contributor.authorEvans Nen_US
dc.contributor.authorFitt BDLen_US
dc.description.abstractVarious adaptation strategies are available that will minimize or negate predicted climate changerelated increases in yield loss from phoma stem canker in UK winter oilseed rape (OSR) production. A number of forecasts for OSR yield, national production and subsequent economic values are presented, providing estimates of impacts on both yield and value for different levels of adaptation. Under future climate change scenarios, there will be increasing pressure to maintain yields at current levels. Losses can be minimized in the short term (up to the 2020s) with a ‘low’-adaptation strategy, which essentially requires some farmer-led changes towards best management practices. However, the predicted impacts of climate change can be negated and, in most cases, improved upon, with ‘high’- adaptation strategies. This requires increased funding from both the public and private sectors and more directed efforts at adaptation from the producer. Most literature on adaptation to climate change has had a conceptual focus with little quantification of impacts. It is argued that quantifying the impacts of adaptation is essential to provide clearer information to guide policy and industry approaches to future climate change risk.
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Agricultural Scienceen_US
dc.subjectOilseed rapeen
dc.subjectPhoma stem cankeren
dc.subjectClimate changeen
dc.titleAdaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate changeen_US

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